There has been talk in recent days of a fear that many voters polled say they will vote for Obama, but when they enter the booth, it will be a different story. This can turn a seemingly landslide victory into a nailbiter. Named after an African American candidate for Governor in 1982,
some analysts are saying that this election will have a backwards Bradley effect--people will vote for Obama but won't reveal it in the exit polls.
Another article talks to voters who see Obama's race as one of many reasons to vote for him.
Some regard casting a ballot for Barack Obama as a victory for diversity, an
atonement for past sins and a catalyst for racial healing. But they say race is
one of many reasons for their preference.
It seems race can be a factor in either direction come election day tomorrow. My question is, if these assertions are each true for parts of the voting population, will they simply cancel each other out?
1 comment:
There has been a fair amount of discussion about the Bradley Effect and the Reverse Bradley Effect. Here's an article that reveals it as a myth perpetuated by bad polling:
www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/08/persistent-myth-of-bradley-effect.html
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